Pakistan’s foreign exchange reserves get a boost as China rolls over $1 billion loan

In a significant development, China has rolled over a $1 billion loan to Pakistan, bolstering the country’s foreign exchange reserves held by the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP). This move comes as a much-needed relief for cash-strapped Pakistan, which has been grappling with a severe liquidity crunch and the looming expiration of its International Monetary Fund (IMF) programme.

Pakistan’s Finance Minister Ishaq Dar said that the $1 billion loan from China would be received on Monday. Additionally, negotiations are underway with the Bank of China for a loan amounting to $300 million. Pakistan is also set to benefit from the dollars obtained through its swap agreement with China.

Prior to this infusion of funds, the SBP and commercial banks jointly held foreign exchange reserves amounting to $9.4 billion as of June 9. With the $1 billion loan, the reserves will rise to $10.4 billion, providing some stability to Pakistan’s economic situation.

The IMF has made external financing a prerequisite for Pakistan, emphasising the importance of securing additional funds. In an effort to address its financial challenges, Pakistan had approached China to refinance commercial loans worth $1.3 billion. However, without the revival of the IMF programme, the SBP’s foreign exchange reserves were at risk of plummeting to less than $3 billion.

Despite these positive developments with China, Pakistan is still struggling to secure external financing in a timely manner, primarily due to ongoing political instability. The country’s fragile economy, valued at $350 billion, continues to be in turmoil, with financial woes exacerbating the situation. The delayed agreement with the IMF has further compounded the need for crucial funding to avoid the risk of default.

Negotiations between the Pakistani government and the IMF have been ongoing since the end of January to resume the $1.1 billion loan tranche that has been on hold since November. This loan is part of a larger $6.5 billion Extended Fund Facility agreed upon in 2019. The impending challenge lies in repaying $900 million to multilateral creditors, which includes both principal and mark-up repayments, by the end of June 2023.

Pakistan remains hopeful that these recent developments with China will provide some respite in the face of its economic challenges. However, the government must continue its efforts to secure external financing and navigate through the political instability to ensure long-term stability and growth for the country’s economy.