The prices of petroleum products are expected to increase by more than Rs32 per litre from February 16th, due to fluctuations in the US dollar exchange rate. The current price of petroleum, oil and lubricants is set at Rs236.40 per dollar, which equates to Rs271.82 for the next fortnight. It’s worth noting that free-on-board Platt prices have seen a decline when compared to last fortnight’s pricing.

Official and industrial sources have indicated that the price of Mogas is expected to increase by 12.8 per cent per litre, or by Rs32.07, resulting in a new price of Rs281.87 from the previous price of Rs249.8 per litre. The price of diesel is also set to rise by 12.5 per cent, or by Rs32.84, to reach Rs295.64 per litre, up from the previous price of Rs262.8 per litre.

Kerosene oil is predicted to increase by 14.8 per cent, or by Rs28.05, bringing the new price to Rs217.88 per litre. Additionally, light diesel oil (LDO) could go up 5.3 per cent, or by Rs9.90, resulting in a new price of Rs196.90 per litre from Rs187 per litre set in the last review.

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According to The News, based on current government taxes and estimated Pakistan State Oil (PSO) incidentals, the prices mentioned above are projected. However, there is a possibility of the government adjusting the exchange rate to over Rs251, which could result in an increase of Rs15 per litre for both Mogas and diesel products. Moreover, the petroleum levy for diesel, currently standing at Rs40, may increase by Rs10 to reach Rs50 from February 16th.

The government had set a target of earning Rs850 billion by imposing a petroleum levy on petroleum, oil, and lubricants. However, there is an estimated shortfall of Rs250 billion, and the authorities are hoping to collect a revenue of Rs600 billion.

It’s worth noting that the government had implemented a significant increase of Rs35 per litre from February 1st, 2023, until February 15th. Presently, the government is charging Rs50 per litre as a petroleum levy, and the general sales tax (GST) has not been imposed yet.

According to an official, the losses incurred by the refineries and oil marketing companies (OMCs) due to the exchange rate will be eliminated in a phased manner, as the government does not wish to burden consumers with the entire exchange rate at once.

The federal government’s last review of petroleum product prices took place on January 29, 2021.

At present, Pakistan is experiencing a shortage of petrol, with the province of Punjab, which has the largest population, bearing the brunt of the crisis. Petroleum dealers have been blamed for the situation.

Additionally, it has been alleged that hoarders are stockpiling petrol in anticipation of a price hike scheduled for February 15th (today).