The tobacco sector that’s officially documented is urgently seeking government support to address the growing issue of smuggled and illicit cigarettes, which now make up over 50 per cent of the local market.

During a recent briefing on “Current Tobacco Dynamics,” representatives from the Pakistan Tobacco Company (PTC) expressed concern that the market share of these illicit tobacco products could surpass 53 per cent in the next quarter of the fiscal year 2023–24.

While a 200 per cent increase in excise duty (FED) on cigarettes was implemented, its real impact is expected to become evident in the current fiscal year. Sami Zaman, spokesperson for PTC, highlighted a 44 per cent drop in legitimate cigarette production in June, along with a 28.4 per cent overall sales decrease for the 2022–23 period.

The implementation of the track-and-trace system has been limited to just two international manufacturers, leaving the rest of the undocumented tobacco sector largely unmonitored. Zaman stressed the need for consistent application across all local manufacturers to prevent tax evasion units from buying untaxed tobacco directly from farmers.

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Zaman also expressed concern about the government’s inability to effectively control the sale of untaxed, health-warning-free smuggled cigarettes. Currently, only multinational companies with track-and-trace systems are under scrutiny.

According to Brecorder, smuggled cigarettes, due to their tax evasion, remain cheaper, lack mandatory graphic health warnings, and often come in appealing flavours, sometimes even in loose packs. Despite a significant 200 per cent increase in excise duty, the market continues to be flooded with untaxed, affordable cigarettes.

Due to a shortage of raw tobacco, prices have risen. The growing illicit market is expected to have a significant impact on both legitimate industry volumes and government revenues in the upcoming quarter.

Despite contributing Rs175 billion during the 2022–23 period (compared to a Rs180 billion target), the tobacco sector’s excise duty collections increased while volumes decreased.